"Bottom line: this situation is very VERY tense.

Listening to the junta propaganda, this appears to be preparatory attacks for an imminent “reconquista” of Donbass, but this is not necessarily so.  My own evaluation is that this probably not a prelude to a massive Ukronazi attack, but this is definitely an attempt to provoke Russia and sabotage any ongoing negotiations while giving the Empire a reason to demand an extension of the sanctions.  I say that because according to many reports the Ukrainians are now extremely frightened of the Novorussians: twice already, their counter-attacks were stopped (Minsk 1 and Minsk 2) at the last moment, but nobody believes that a Minsk 3 will happen.  In other words, if the Ukronazis attack they will be taking a huge risk.  I might be wrong, but my sense is that they will try to delay the (otherwise inevitable) moment when they will have to launch their last attack.

Europe and the OSCE are taking the typical spineless attitude towards these events.  The OSCE is reluctantly reporting that the Ukronazis have brought back a lot of their heavy weapons and that civilians are being killed every day.  The EU is strenuously looking the other way.

It is pretty clear that Kerry, Nuland & Co got nothing out of Lavrov or Putin and that “punitive escalation” is the US response to the Russian refusal to budge." skriver The Saker,

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